Nov 22, 2024
By Henry Single & Damian Healey, hosts of Pivot to Profit
New home builds have been carved out of the negative gearing and capital gains tax changes, which sounds simple until you try to pin down what a “new build” actually means. The government’s own language leaves a genuinely open question, and how it gets resolved could matter enormously for how investors structure their next purchase.
The definition on offer is a new home that hasn’t been lived in before, or an existing home that has been “significantly renovated.” That second half is where things get interesting. Does adding a granny flat to an existing property count as a significant renovation? Does converting a three-bedroom, one-bathroom house into a four-bedroom, two-bathroom home (the kind of structural change that goes through council for a development approval) qualify? Nobody has an answer yet, including the tax lawyers already fielding these questions.
If you subdivide a block and build a new house on the back of it, that almost certainly qualifies. But where the line sits after that is genuinely unclear.
There’s a second, bigger question sitting underneath the first: does “new” mean a new dwelling, or a new title? The distinction matters enormously. If subdividing a 1,000 square metre block and creating a new title at the back with a granny flat or a new two or three bedroom dwelling counts as a “new property,” that changes the calculus on every large block with subdivision potential across the country. It also raises the question of how long the benefit lasts. Does it end with the first owner, or the moment a tenant moves in?
There’s also an unresolved question about how losses interact with capital gains: whether they’re quarantined to the specific property on which they were incurred, or can move across an entire portfolio. That single detail changes which property an investor would choose to sell first, and in what order, potentially resulting in less tax collected overall than the policy intended.
None of this is legislated yet, and history suggests the version that eventually passes parliament often looks quite different from the version first announced. But the value-add strategy this points toward (buying a large block with an existing dwelling and the ability to subdivide or add a second dwelling) already looks like exactly the kind of stock investors should be chasing, regardless of how the fine print eventually lands.
We’ve already started asking this question about specific projects, including whether Bondi’s new developments are worth the price tag.
This topic is unpacked in full, with the real numbers and the back-and-forth, on Episode 2 of Pivot to Profit. Give it a listen for the full conversation.
Nov 22, 2024
Nov 22, 2024